Prospect Watch: Drew Robinson

he Texas Rangers, by and large, have one of the best farm systems in baseball.  Led by shortstop wunderkind Jurickson Profar and third baseman (for now) Mike Olt, both of whom made Keith Law’s midseason Top 50 prospects list, as well as some very promising young arms – Martin Perez, who’s struggled this season, Neil Ramirez, and Cody Buckel– the system not only has elite talent, it’s also very deep.

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Third baseman Drew Robinson, who despite having a bit of breakout year in A-ball, has quietly flown under the radar this season.  Robinson, 20, was the club’s fourth round selection in 2010 out of Silverado High School in Las Vegas.

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After showing initial promise in 2010 – he hit .286/.406/.357 in 44 games in the Arizona Summer League – Robinson struggled mightily last season, hitting .200/.313/.321, showing a solid walk rate, 14%, and decent speed but little else.  His overall offensive production per Weighted Runs Created Plus, or wRC+, was 46% below the league average, tied for the sixth worst total across all of low-A.

This season, however, despite aggressively being pushed up to A-ball by the Rangers, Robinson is hitting .277/.424/.446, showing the same type of plate discipline – 18.8% BB% and 22% K% – with blossoming power.  His Isolated Power, or ISO, during his first two seasons were .071 and .121, respectively.  It is .170 this season, more than 40 points higher than the SALLY league average.  And his total offensive production is 45% better than the league average, a mark that’s bested only four times by players his age or younger.

Robinson, like many young left-handers (think Mike Moustakas or Lonnie Chisenhall), will have to improve upon a lackluster performance against lefties, whom he’s hitting .209/.346/.279 off of this season.  Defensively, he’s a bit raw at third, committing 16 errors in just 66 games this season, and he may be destined for left field, though his bat certainly doesn’t profile as strongly there.

Overall, Robinson is a solid middle-tier prospect with one plus skill (getting on base) and a few solid-average tools (speed and power).  He’s got the ceiling of 15 homerun, .280/.350/.420 hitter and will likely develop into more of a doubles hitter.

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For attempted humor, snarky comments, and baseball updates follow the site on Twitter, @ReleasePoints.

Or if you’re at work or just looking to kill more time check out the site’s homepage here or the Archives tab here or the Prospects tab here.

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For attempted humor, snarky comments, and baseball updates follow the site on Twitter, @ReleasePoints.

Or if you're at work or just looking to kill more time check out the site's homepage here or the Archives tab here.

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